UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Oliveira vs Lamas

2,002

CageRank

WINNER
Lamas

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
65% chance Lamas
WILL WIN

2,112

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ricardo Lamas
Significantly heavier hands 8.0 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Charles Oliveira
Much better submission offense 9.4 vs 7.4 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
A lot taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly younger 27 years vs 34 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Longer reach 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Lamas on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oliveira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ricardo
Lamas
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lamas Oliveira
Significant Strikes61
Lamas's average striking offense is matched by Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Lamas's average takedown offense is matched by Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lamas is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lamas is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lamas has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Oliveira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lamas’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Charles
Oliveira
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Oliveira Lamas
Significant Strikes60
Oliveira's average striking offense won't be a factor against Lamas's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Oliveira's average takedown offense is matched by Lamas's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oliveira is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Oliveira has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Oliveira is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lamas 8.4
fighter Oliveira 8.6
Great striking by Oliveira
42 strikes Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
6 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
35 strikes Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lamas 8.3
fighter Oliveira 8.7
Great takedowns by Oliveira
1 takedown Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
1 takedown Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
2 takedowns Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lamas 8.0
fighter Oliveira 7.1
Great knockouts by Lamas
Round 2 Jan 26, 2013 vs Koch
Round 1 Jun 26, 2011 vs Grice
Round 1 Mar 06, 2010 vs Casimir

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lamas 7.4
fighter Oliveira 9.4
Great submissions by Oliveira
Round 2 Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
Round 1 Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
Round 3 Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lamas 8.1
fighter Oliveira 8.8
Fast finishes by Oliveira
462 seconds Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
103 seconds Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
41 seconds Aug 01, 2010 vs Elkins
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 5, 2016UFC Fight Night 98
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lamas
legend Oliveira
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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