UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Oliveira vs Cerrone

2,002

CageRank

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
76% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

2,206

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 169 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Charles Oliveira
Much better submission offense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Younger 28 years vs 34 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oliveira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 7:28, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Oliveira
Significant Strikes41
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 67 Significant Strikes in 7:28
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cerrone's average takedown offense is matched by Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:28
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Oliveira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Charles
Oliveira
In 7:28, how much damage will he do? Oliveira Cerrone
Significant Strikes39
Oliveira's average striking offense is matched by Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 67 Significant Strikes in 7:28
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Oliveira's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:28
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oliveira is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Oliveira has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Oliveira is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Oliveira 8.6
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Oliveira 8.7
Great takedowns by Oliveira
1 takedown Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
1 takedown Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
2 takedowns Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Oliveira 7.1
Great knockouts by Cerrone
Round 1 Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Oliveira 9.4
Great submissions by Oliveira
Round 2 Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
Round 1 Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
Round 3 Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Oliveira 8.8
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR1 SUB
1,9702,019
1,9272,062
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Oliveira
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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