UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Oliveira vs Lentz

2,002

CageRank

WINNER
Lentz

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
60% chance Lentz
WILL WIN

2,069

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nik Lentz
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Charles Oliveira
Much better submission offense 9.4 vs 7.4 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.5 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 185 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 27 years vs 32 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Lentz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oliveira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nik
Lentz
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lentz Oliveira
Significant Strikes75
Lentz's good striking offense may be a factor against Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Lentz's excellent takedown offense will dominate Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lentz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lentz is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lentz has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Oliveira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lentz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Charles
Oliveira
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Oliveira Lentz
Significant Strikes67
Oliveira's average striking offense is matched by Lentz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Oliveira's average takedown offense is matched by Lentz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oliveira is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Oliveira has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Oliveira is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lentz 8.8
fighter Oliveira 8.6
Great striking by Lentz
42 strikes May 18, 2013 vs Dias
56 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Nunes
33 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Mitsuoka

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lentz 9.3
fighter Oliveira 8.7
Great takedowns by Lentz
4 takedowns May 18, 2013 vs Dias
10 takedowns Jan 19, 2013 vs Nunes
4 takedowns Aug 11, 2012 vs Mitsuoka

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lentz 7.2
fighter Oliveira 7.1
Great knockouts by Lentz
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Mitsuoka
Round 1 Sep 06, 2006 vs Jefferson
Round 1 Sep 06, 2006 vs Vanier

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lentz 7.4
fighter Oliveira 9.4
Great submissions by Oliveira
Round 2 Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
Round 1 Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
Round 3 Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lentz 7.5
fighter Oliveira 8.8
Fast finishes by Oliveira
462 seconds Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
103 seconds Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
41 seconds Aug 01, 2010 vs Elkins
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 30, 2015UFC Fight Night 67
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
XX
00
00
team
VS
team
XX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lentz
legend Oliveira
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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