UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Oliveira vs Brookins

2,002

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Oliveira

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
73% chance Oliveira
WILL WIN

1,826

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Charles Oliveira
Much better submission offense 9.4 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.1 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 27 years vs 32 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 7.1 vs 7.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Jonathan Brookins
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Longer reach 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Oliveira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brookins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Charles
Oliveira
In 9:48, how much damage will he do? Oliveira Brookins
Significant Strikes56
Oliveira's average striking offense may be a factor against Brookins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:48
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Oliveira's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Brookins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:48
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oliveira is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Oliveira has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Oliveira is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Brookins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oliveira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jonathan
Brookins
In 9:48, how much damage will he do? Brookins Oliveira
Significant Strikes48
Brookins's good striking offense may be a factor against Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:48
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Brookins's average takedown offense is matched by Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:48
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brookins is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brookins has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brookins is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Oliveira 8.6
fighter Brookins 8.7
Great striking by Brookins
18 strikes Feb 15, 2012 vs Rocha
32 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Johnson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Oliveira 8.7
fighter Brookins 8.7
Great takedowns by Brookins
1 takedown Feb 15, 2012 vs Rocha
3 takedowns Dec 04, 2010 vs Johnson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Oliveira 7.1
fighter Brookins 7.0
Great knockouts by Oliveira
Round 1 Feb 14, 2010 vs Battaglia
Round 2 Dec 29, 2008 vs Silva
Round 1 Mar 15, 2008 vs Braga Alves

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Oliveira 9.4
fighter Brookins 8.1
Great submissions by Oliveira
Round 2 Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
Round 1 Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
Round 3 Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Oliveira 8.8
fighter Brookins 8.2
Fast finishes by Oliveira
462 seconds Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
103 seconds Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
41 seconds Aug 01, 2010 vs Elkins
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 1, 2012TUF 15 Finale
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
R1 SUBX
1,9761,888
2,0131,851
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Oliveira
legend Brookins
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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