UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Kampmann vs Daley

2,066

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Kampmann

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
57% chance Kampmann
WILL WIN

2,017

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Martin Kampmann
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.3 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.8 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly longer reach 189 cm vs 182 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Heavier 170 lbs vs 169 lbs Almost the same
Kampmann on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Martin
Kampmann
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Kampmann Daley
Significant Strikes64
Kampmann's average striking offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Kampmann's average takedown offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kampmann is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kampmann has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kampmann is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kampmann’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Daley Kampmann
Significant Strikes79
Daley's good striking offense may be a factor against Kampmann's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Daley's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Kampmann's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Daley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Kampmann 8.5
fighter Daley 8.7
Great striking by Daley
17 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Smith
8 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
27 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Kampmann 8.1
fighter Daley 7.6
Great takedowns by Kampmann
1 takedown Mar 03, 2012 vs Alves
3 takedowns Nov 19, 2011 vs Story
5 takedowns Apr 01, 2009 vs Condit

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Kampmann 7.9
fighter Daley 9.5
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Kampmann 8.3
fighter Daley 6.3
Great submissions by Kampmann
Round 3 Mar 03, 2012 vs Alves
Round 1 Jun 07, 2008 vs Rivera
Round 1 Aug 17, 2006 vs Wallace

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Kampmann 8.6
fighter Daley 8.8
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 19, 2009UFC 103
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
R1 SUBX
2,0581,969
1,9952,032
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Kampmann
legend Daley
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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