UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hendricks vs Henrique Costa

2,259

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Hendricks

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
97% chance Hendricks
WILL WIN

1,628

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Johny Hendricks
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 7.7 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 7.6 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 9.0 vs 7.6 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Paulo Henrique Costa
A lot taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 26 years vs 34 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.7 Almost the same
Hendricks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henrique Costa’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Johny
Hendricks
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hendricks has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Hendricks is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Hendricks has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Henrique Costa on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hendricks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paulo
Henrique Costa
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Henrique Costa has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Henrique Costa is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Henrique Costa is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Henrique Costa 8.2
Great knockouts by Hendricks
Round 1 Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
Round 2 Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hendricks 6.7
fighter Henrique Costa 6.9
Great submissions by Henrique Costa
Round 1 May 21, 2016 vs Ramon

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Henrique Costa 8.1
Fast finishes by Hendricks
46 seconds Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
12 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
340 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hendricks
legend Henrique Costa
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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