UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hendricks vs MacDonald

2,259

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Hendricks

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
59% chance Hendricks
WILL WIN

2,198

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Johny Hendricks
Significantly heavier hands 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better striker 9.2 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Rory MacDonald
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.7 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much longer reach 194 cm vs 175 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 28 years vs 33 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.4 Almost the same
Hendricks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against MacDonald’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Johny
Hendricks
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hendricks MacDonald
Significant Strikes78
Hendricks's excellent striking offense will dominate MacDonald's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Hendricks's good takedown offense is matched by MacDonald's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hendricks is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
MacDonald on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hendricks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rory
MacDonald
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? MacDonald Hendricks
Significant Strikes72
MacDonald's excellent striking offense will dominate Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
MacDonald's good takedown offense is matched by Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
MacDonald has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
MacDonald is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
MacDonald has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hendricks 9.2
fighter MacDonald 9.1
Great striking by Hendricks
30 strikes Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
55 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
2 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hendricks 9.1
fighter MacDonald 8.8
Great takedowns by Hendricks
12 takedowns Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
2 takedowns May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
1 takedown Aug 06, 2011 vs Pierce

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter MacDonald 8.2
Great knockouts by Hendricks
Round 1 Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
Round 2 Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hendricks 6.7
fighter MacDonald 7.5
Great submissions by MacDonald
Round 1 Jan 11, 2010 vs Guymon
Round 1 Jun 17, 2006 vs Mein
Round 1 Oct 15, 2005 vs Thiara

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter MacDonald 8.4
Fast finishes by Hendricks
46 seconds Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
12 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
340 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hendricks
legend MacDonald
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 2 comments.
Yeah, because Rory has better wrestling than GSP.
Nah. MacDonald's got this by TKO in the 4th. His chin is better than Hendricks and he can work the ground and pound.
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