UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hendricks vs Brown

2,259

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Hendricks

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
75% chance Hendricks
WILL WIN

2,072

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Johny Hendricks
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.1 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 33 years vs 36 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 9.2 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Matt Brown
Much longer reach 191 cm vs 175 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier hands 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Hendricks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brown’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Johny
Hendricks
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hendricks Brown
Significant Strikes77
Hendricks's excellent striking offense will dominate Brown's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Hendricks's good takedown offense may be a factor against Brown's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hendricks is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Brown on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hendricks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Brown
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Brown Hendricks
Significant Strikes73
Brown's excellent striking offense will dominate Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Brown's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brown has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brown is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brown is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hendricks 9.2
fighter Brown 9.1
Great striking by Hendricks
30 strikes Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
55 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
2 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hendricks 9.1
fighter Brown 8.1
Great takedowns by Hendricks
12 takedowns Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
2 takedowns May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
1 takedown Aug 06, 2011 vs Pierce

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Brown 9.3
Great knockouts by Brown
Round 1 Aug 17, 2013 vs Pyle
Round 2 Apr 20, 2013 vs Mein
Round 2 Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hendricks 6.7
fighter Brown 6.8
Great submissions by Brown
Round 2 Nov 15, 2008 vs Thomas
Round 1 Oct 20, 2006 vs Nickoson
Round 1 May 20, 2006 vs King

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Brown 8.5
Fast finishes by Hendricks
46 seconds Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
12 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
340 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 14, 2015UFC 185
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hendricks
legend Brown
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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