UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hendricks vs Waldburger

2,259

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Hendricks

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
91% chance Hendricks
WILL WIN

1,861

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Johny Hendricks
Much heavier hands 8.7 vs 6.6 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 7.5 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for T.J. Waldburger
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 6.7 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 28 years vs 33 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Hendricks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Waldburger’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Johny
Hendricks
In 8:52, how much damage will he do? Hendricks Waldburger
Significant Strikes57
Hendricks's excellent striking offense will dominate Waldburger's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:52
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Hendricks's good takedown offense may be a factor against Waldburger's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:52
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hendricks has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Hendricks is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Waldburger on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hendricks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
Waldburger
In 8:52, how much damage will he do? Waldburger Hendricks
Significant Strikes28
Waldburger's average striking offense won't be a factor against Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:52
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Waldburger's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:52
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Waldburger is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Waldburger has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Waldburger is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hendricks 9.2
fighter Waldburger 8.3
Great striking by Hendricks
30 strikes Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
55 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
2 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hendricks 9.1
fighter Waldburger 8.4
Great takedowns by Hendricks
12 takedowns Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
2 takedowns May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
1 takedown Aug 06, 2011 vs Pierce

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Waldburger 6.6
Great knockouts by Hendricks
Round 1 Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
Round 2 Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hendricks 6.7
fighter Waldburger 8.5
Great submissions by Waldburger
Round 2 Dec 15, 2012 vs Catone
Round 1 Mar 03, 2012 vs Hecht
Round 1 Sep 17, 2011 vs Stumpf

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Waldburger 8.4
Fast finishes by Hendricks
46 seconds Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
12 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
340 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 26, 2011UFC Fight Night 24
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R1 KOX
1,9091,884
1,9551,838
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hendricks
legend Waldburger
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus