UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hendricks vs Pierce

2,259

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Hendricks

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
79% chance Hendricks
WILL WIN

2,032

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Johny Hendricks
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 9.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 34 years vs 37 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Better submission offense 6.7 vs 6.6 Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Mike Pierce
Longer reach 182 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Hendricks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pierce’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Johny
Hendricks
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hendricks Pierce
Significant Strikes81
Hendricks's excellent striking offense will dominate Pierce's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Hendricks's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Pierce's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hendricks is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hendricks has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Pierce on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hendricks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mike
Pierce
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Pierce Hendricks
Significant Strikes52
Pierce's average striking offense won't be a factor against Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Pierce's good takedown offense is matched by Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pierce has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pierce is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pierce is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hendricks 9.2
fighter Pierce 8.5
Great striking by Hendricks
30 strikes Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
55 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
2 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hendricks 9.1
fighter Pierce 9.0
Great takedowns by Hendricks
12 takedowns Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
2 takedowns May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
1 takedown Aug 06, 2011 vs Pierce

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Pierce 8.3
Great knockouts by Hendricks
Round 1 Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
Round 2 Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hendricks 6.7
fighter Pierce 6.6
Great submissions by Hendricks
Round 1 Mar 15, 2008 vs Gamble

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Pierce 7.6
Fast finishes by Hendricks
46 seconds Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
12 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
340 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 6, 2011UFC 133
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XDEC
1,9552,034
2,0161,973
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hendricks
legend Pierce
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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