UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hendricks vs Kampmann

2,259

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Hendricks

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
75% chance Hendricks
WILL WIN

2,066

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Johny Hendricks
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.1 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Martin Kampmann
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.7 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 182 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Hendricks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kampmann’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Johny
Hendricks
In 10:41, how much damage will he do? Hendricks Kampmann
Significant Strikes67
Hendricks's excellent striking offense will dominate Kampmann's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:41
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Hendricks's good takedown offense is matched by Kampmann's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:41
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hendricks has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Hendricks is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Kampmann on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hendricks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Martin
Kampmann
In 10:41, how much damage will he do? Kampmann Hendricks
Significant Strikes38
Kampmann's average striking offense won't be a factor against Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:41
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Kampmann's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:41
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kampmann is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kampmann has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kampmann is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hendricks 9.2
fighter Kampmann 8.5
Great striking by Hendricks
30 strikes Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
55 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
2 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hendricks 9.1
fighter Kampmann 8.1
Great takedowns by Hendricks
12 takedowns Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
2 takedowns May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
1 takedown Aug 06, 2011 vs Pierce

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Kampmann 7.9
Great knockouts by Hendricks
Round 1 Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
Round 2 Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hendricks 6.7
fighter Kampmann 8.3
Great submissions by Kampmann
Round 3 Mar 03, 2012 vs Alves
Round 1 Jun 07, 2008 vs Rivera
Round 1 Aug 17, 2006 vs Wallace

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Kampmann 8.6
Fast finishes by Hendricks
46 seconds Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
12 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
340 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 17, 2012UFC 154
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR1 SUB
2,1522,162
2,2042,111
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hendricks
legend Kampmann
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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