UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hendricks vs Thompson

2,259

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Hendricks

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
89% chance Hendricks
WILL WIN

1,900

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Johny Hendricks
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.1 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.2 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Stephen Thompson
Much longer reach 191 cm vs 175 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Hendricks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Thompson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Johny
Hendricks
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hendricks Thompson
Significant Strikes94
Hendricks's excellent striking offense will dominate Thompson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Hendricks's good takedown offense may be a factor against Thompson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hendricks is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Hendricks has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Thompson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hendricks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stephen
Thompson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Thompson Hendricks
Significant Strikes65
Thompson's good striking offense is matched by Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Thompson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Thompson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Thompson is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Thompson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hendricks 9.2
fighter Thompson 8.9
Great striking by Hendricks
30 strikes Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
55 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
2 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hendricks 9.1
fighter Thompson 8.1
Great takedowns by Hendricks
12 takedowns Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
2 takedowns May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
1 takedown Aug 06, 2011 vs Pierce

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Thompson 8.6
Great knockouts by Hendricks
Round 1 Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
Round 2 Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hendricks 6.7
fighter Thompson 6.8
Great submissions by Thompson
Round 2 Sep 18, 2010 vs Worrell

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Thompson 8.1
Fast finishes by Hendricks
46 seconds Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
12 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
340 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 6, 2016UFC Fight Night 82
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hendricks
legend Thompson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 6 comments.
this prediction was wrong thompson beat hendricks bad. It looked like hendricks was outmatched
this guy has to be the biggest pissload in the history of the internet.
Still choking on conor's dick?Where are you big pussy?Hahahahahahahahahahahaaaaaaaaaa
Ha Ha Ha
ant eh winner is you, you win the lucky prize of second best ufc fight picker ever. I am king, conor will kill diaz and it will be done in one. Dos anjos would of fallen in under two minutes but I give diaz a little mroe time then that.
Even though this says Hendricks has an 89% chance of winning; I have a feeling Thompson is going to win.
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