UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hendricks vs Koscheck

2,259

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Hendricks

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
83% chance Hendricks
WILL WIN

1,979

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Johny Hendricks
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 34 years vs 40 years 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 9.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Josh Koscheck
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.7 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 185 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Slightly better submission defense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Hendricks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Koscheck’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Johny
Hendricks
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hendricks Koscheck
Significant Strikes78
Hendricks's excellent striking offense will dominate Koscheck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Hendricks's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Koscheck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hendricks is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hendricks has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Koscheck on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hendricks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Josh
Koscheck
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Koscheck Hendricks
Significant Strikes43
Koscheck's average striking offense won't be a factor against Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Koscheck's good takedown offense is matched by Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Koscheck is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Koscheck is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Koscheck is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hendricks 9.2
fighter Koscheck 8.2
Great striking by Hendricks
30 strikes Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
55 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
2 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hendricks 9.1
fighter Koscheck 8.9
Great takedowns by Hendricks
12 takedowns Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
2 takedowns May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
1 takedown Aug 06, 2011 vs Pierce

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Koscheck 7.9
Great knockouts by Hendricks
Round 1 Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
Round 2 Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hendricks 6.7
fighter Koscheck 7.5
Great submissions by Koscheck
Round 2 Nov 21, 2009 vs Johnson
Round 1 Aug 17, 2006 vs Goulet
Round 1 Apr 06, 2006 vs Chalangov

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Koscheck 8.2
Fast finishes by Hendricks
46 seconds Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
12 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
340 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 5, 2012UFC on Fox 3
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XDEC
2,0922,163
2,1522,103
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hendricks
legend Koscheck
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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