UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hendricks vs Fitch

2,259

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Hendricks

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
69% chance Hendricks
WILL WIN

2,119

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Johny Hendricks
Much heavier hands 8.7 vs 6.8 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.2 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 33 years vs 39 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Jon Fitch
Significantly better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.7 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly longer reach 188 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly harder to hit 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger takedown offense 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Hendricks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Fitch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Johny
Hendricks
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hendricks Fitch
Significant Strikes64
Hendricks's excellent striking offense is matched by Fitch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Hendricks's good takedown offense may be a factor against Fitch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hendricks is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Fitch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hendricks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Fitch
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Fitch Hendricks
Significant Strikes45
Fitch's average striking offense won't be a factor against Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Fitch's excellent takedown offense will dominate Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Fitch is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Fitch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Fitch has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hendricks 9.2
fighter Fitch 8.3
Great striking by Hendricks
30 strikes Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
55 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
2 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hendricks 9.1
fighter Fitch 9.3
Great takedowns by Fitch
6 takedowns Oct 13, 2012 vs Silva
9 takedowns Aug 07, 2010 vs Alves
3 takedowns Sep 22, 2007 vs Sanchez

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Fitch 6.8
Great knockouts by Hendricks
Round 1 Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
Round 2 Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hendricks 6.7
fighter Fitch 7.2
Great submissions by Fitch
Round 2 Jun 12, 2007 vs Carneiro
Round 2 Mar 03, 2007 vs Fioravanti
Round 2 Apr 06, 2006 vs Burkman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Fitch 7.2
Fast finishes by Hendricks
46 seconds Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
12 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
340 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 30, 2011UFC 141
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XDEC
2,0162,217
2,0922,141
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hendricks
legend Fitch
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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