UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hendricks vs Boetsch

2,259

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Hendricks

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
83% chance Hendricks
WILL WIN

1,989

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Johny Hendricks
Much heavier hands 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 9.0 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 33 years vs 36 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Tim Boetsch
Significantly better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly longer reach 188 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Hendricks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Boetsch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Johny
Hendricks
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hendricks Boetsch
Significant Strikes93
Hendricks's excellent striking offense will dominate Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Hendricks's good takedown offense may be a factor against Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hendricks is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Boetsch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hendricks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Boetsch
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Boetsch Hendricks
Significant Strikes53
Boetsch's average striking offense won't be a factor against Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Boetsch's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Boetsch is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Boetsch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Boetsch is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hendricks 9.2
fighter Boetsch 8.5
Great striking by Hendricks
30 strikes Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
55 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
2 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hendricks 9.1
fighter Boetsch 8.2
Great takedowns by Hendricks
12 takedowns Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
2 takedowns May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
1 takedown Aug 06, 2011 vs Pierce

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Boetsch 7.6
Great knockouts by Hendricks
Round 1 Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
Round 2 Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hendricks 6.7
fighter Boetsch 7.4
Great submissions by Boetsch
Round 2 Jan 16, 2010 vs Sylvester Lindsey
Round 2 Aug 15, 2009 vs Stark
Round 2 Jul 28, 2007 vs Barrett

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Boetsch 7.8
Fast finishes by Hendricks
46 seconds Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
12 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
340 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hendricks
legend Boetsch
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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