UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hendricks vs Rockhold

2,259

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Hendricks

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
71% chance Hendricks
WILL WIN

2,108

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Johny Hendricks
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 7.4 Around 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Better striker 9.2 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Luke Rockhold
Much longer reach 196 cm vs 175 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much better submission offense 8.6 vs 6.7 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 191 cm vs 175 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Slightly younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Hendricks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rockhold’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Johny
Hendricks
In 9:57, how much damage will he do? Hendricks Rockhold
Significant Strikes51
Hendricks's excellent striking offense will dominate Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 9:57
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Hendricks's good takedown offense is matched by Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:57
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hendricks is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Rockhold on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hendricks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luke
Rockhold
In 9:57, how much damage will he do? Rockhold Hendricks
Significant Strikes48
Rockhold's excellent striking offense will dominate Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 9:57
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Rockhold's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:57
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rockhold is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rockhold has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rockhold is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hendricks 9.2
fighter Rockhold 9.1
Great striking by Hendricks
30 strikes Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
55 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
2 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hendricks 9.1
fighter Rockhold 7.4
Great takedowns by Hendricks
12 takedowns Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
2 takedowns May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
1 takedown Aug 06, 2011 vs Pierce

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Rockhold 7.9
Great knockouts by Hendricks
Round 1 Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
Round 2 Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hendricks 6.7
fighter Rockhold 8.6
Great submissions by Rockhold
Round 1 Nov 06, 2009 vs Taylor
Round 1 Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Round 1 Nov 21, 2008 vs Theotikos

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Rockhold 9.5
Fast finishes by Rockhold
151 seconds Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
266 seconds Jan 07, 2012 vs Jardine
30 seconds Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hendricks
legend Rockhold
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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