UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ellenberger vs Saffiedine

2,075

CageRank

WINNER
Saffiedine

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
51% chance Saffiedine
WILL WIN

2,085

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tarec Saffiedine
Better submission offense 7.1 vs 6.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Jake Ellenberger
Much heavier hands 8.7 vs 6.7 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.3 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.7 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.7 vs 9.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly longer reach 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 9.6 vs 8.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Saffiedine on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ellenberger’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tarec
Saffiedine
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Saffiedine Ellenberger
Significant Strikes67
Saffiedine's good striking offense is matched by Ellenberger's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Saffiedine's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ellenberger's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Saffiedine is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Saffiedine is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Saffiedine has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Ellenberger on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Saffiedine’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jake
Ellenberger
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ellenberger Saffiedine
Significant Strikes74
Ellenberger's good striking offense may be a factor against Saffiedine's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Ellenberger's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Saffiedine's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ellenberger has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ellenberger is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ellenberger is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Saffiedine 8.9
fighter Ellenberger 8.7
Great striking by Saffiedine
116 strikes Jan 12, 2013 vs Marquardt
67 strikes Aug 18, 2012 vs Bowling
46 strikes Jan 07, 2012 vs Stinson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Saffiedine 7.7
fighter Ellenberger 8.7
Great takedowns by Ellenberger
2 takedowns Oct 05, 2012 vs Hieron
2 takedowns Feb 15, 2012 vs Sanchez
2 takedowns Jan 02, 2010 vs Pyle

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Saffiedine 6.7
fighter Ellenberger 8.7
Great knockouts by Ellenberger
Round 1 Mar 16, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Sep 17, 2011 vs Shields
Round 2 Jan 02, 2010 vs Pyle

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Saffiedine 7.1
fighter Ellenberger 6.5
Great submissions by Saffiedine
Round 1 May 30, 2009 vs Arellano
Round 1 Jun 27, 2008 vs Bondoc
Round 1 Jun 09, 2007 vs Grandin

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Saffiedine 7.4
fighter Ellenberger 8.8
Fast finishes by Ellenberger
180 seconds Mar 16, 2013 vs Marquardt
53 seconds Sep 17, 2011 vs Shields
322 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Pyle
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 30, 2016UFC on Fox 18
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Saffiedine
legend Ellenberger
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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