UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ellenberger vs Masvidal

2,075

CageRank

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
57% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

2,125

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.5 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Jake Ellenberger
Much better takedown defense 9.7 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.6 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.7 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ellenberger’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Ellenberger
Significant Strikes63
Masvidal's good striking offense is matched by Ellenberger's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Masvidal's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Ellenberger's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Ellenberger on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jake
Ellenberger
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ellenberger Masvidal
Significant Strikes70
Ellenberger's good striking offense may be a factor against Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Ellenberger's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ellenberger has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ellenberger is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ellenberger is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Ellenberger 8.7
Great striking by Masvidal
50 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
82 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Wilcox
56 strikes Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Ellenberger 8.7
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Ellenberger 8.7
Great knockouts by Ellenberger
Round 1 Mar 16, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Sep 17, 2011 vs Shields
Round 2 Jan 02, 2010 vs Pyle

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Ellenberger 6.5
Great submissions by Masvidal
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Chiesa
Round 3 Jun 19, 2009 vs Reynolds

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Ellenberger 8.8
Fast finishes by Ellenberger
180 seconds Mar 16, 2013 vs Marquardt
53 seconds Sep 17, 2011 vs Shields
322 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Pyle
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 3, 2016TUF 24 Finale
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Ellenberger
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus