UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Carmont vs Souza

2,003

CageRank

WINNER
Souza

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
80% chance Souza
WILL WIN

2,245

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronaldo Souza
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Francis Carmont
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 187 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 205 lbs vs 183 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Souza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Carmont’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronaldo
Souza
In 10:51, how much damage will he do? Souza Carmont
Significant Strikes37
Souza's good striking offense won't be a factor against Carmont's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:51
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Souza's excellent takedown offense will dominate Carmont's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:51
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Souza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Souza has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Souza has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Carmont on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Souza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Francis
Carmont
In 10:51, how much damage will he do? Carmont Souza
Significant Strikes22
Carmont's average striking offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:51
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Carmont's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:51
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carmont is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Carmont is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Carmont is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Souza 8.7
fighter Carmont 8.2
Great striking by Souza
28 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
12 strikes Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
47 strikes Aug 21, 2010 vs Kennedy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Souza 9.2
fighter Carmont 8.5
Great takedowns by Souza
2 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Herman
4 takedowns Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
3 takedowns Jun 15, 2008 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Souza 7.3
fighter Carmont 7.3
Great knockouts by Carmont
Round 1 Jun 17, 2011 vs Day
Round 2 Mar 24, 2011 vs Carlsen
Round 1 Feb 18, 2007 vs Broadaway

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Souza 9.0
fighter Carmont 7.7
Great submissions by Souza
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
Round 3 Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Lindland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Souza 9.4
fighter Carmont 8.1
Fast finishes by Souza
167 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
217 seconds May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
720 seconds Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 15, 2014UFC Fight Night 36
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Souza
legend Carmont
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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