UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hieron vs Woodley

1,999

CageRank

WINNER
Woodley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
63% chance Woodley
WILL WIN

2,090

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tyron Woodley
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 34 years vs 40 years 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Jay Hieron
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Woodley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hieron’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tyron
Woodley
In 10:51, how much damage will he do? Woodley Hieron
Significant Strikes58
Woodley's good striking offense may be a factor against Hieron's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:51
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Woodley's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Hieron's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:51
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Woodley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Woodley is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Woodley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Hieron on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Woodley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jay
Hieron
In 10:51, how much damage will he do? Hieron Woodley
Significant Strikes31
Hieron's average striking offense won't be a factor against Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:51
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Hieron's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:51
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hieron is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hieron is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hieron has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Woodley 8.9
fighter Hieron 8.3
Great striking by Woodley
22 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
15 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
20 strikes Jul 30, 2011 vs Daley

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Woodley 8.4
fighter Hieron 8.4
Great takedowns by Woodley
3 takedowns Jan 07, 2012 vs Mein
2 takedowns Jul 30, 2011 vs Daley
2 takedowns Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Woodley 8.5
fighter Hieron 7.4
Great knockouts by Woodley
Round 1 Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
Round 1 Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
Round 1 Oct 09, 2010 vs Galvao

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Woodley 7.7
fighter Hieron 7.7
Great submissions by Woodley
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears
Round 2 Sep 25, 2009 vs Light
Round 1 Jun 06, 2009 vs Woods

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Woodley 8.9
fighter Hieron 8.2
Fast finishes by Woodley
278 seconds Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
36 seconds Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
172 seconds Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 2, 2013UFC 156
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
DECX
2,0581,995
1,9992,054
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Woodley
legend Hieron
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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