UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Dunham vs dos Anjos

1,886

CageRank

WINNER
dos Anjos

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
80% chance dos Anjos
WILL WIN

2,132

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rafael dos Anjos
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.5 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 33 years vs 36 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Evan Dunham
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 7.0 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
dos Anjos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dunham’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rafael
dos Anjos
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? dos Anjos Dunham
Significant Strikes78
dos Anjos's average striking offense is matched by Dunham's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
dos Anjos's good takedown offense is matched by Dunham's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Anjos is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
dos Anjos is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Anjos has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Dunham on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Anjos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Evan
Dunham
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Dunham dos Anjos
Significant Strikes73
Dunham's excellent striking offense will dominate dos Anjos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Dunham's average takedown offense won't be a factor against dos Anjos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dunham is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dunham is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dunham is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter dos Anjos 8.5
fighter Dunham 9.1
Great striking by Dunham
91 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Tibau
68 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
28 strikes Jun 12, 2010 vs Griffin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter dos Anjos 8.8
fighter Dunham 8.6
Great takedowns by dos Anjos
2 takedowns Aug 28, 2013 vs Cerrone
4 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Bocek
2 takedowns Apr 10, 2010 vs Etim

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter dos Anjos 7.1
fighter Dunham 7.3
Great knockouts by Dunham
Round 2 Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Eklund
Round 2 Sep 13, 2008 vs Kaneshiro

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter dos Anjos 7.7
fighter Dunham 7.7
Great submissions by dos Anjos
Round 1 May 15, 2012 vs Shalorus
Round 2 Apr 10, 2010 vs Etim
Round 2 Aug 04, 2007 vs Cherman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter dos Anjos 8.0
fighter Dunham 7.7
Fast finishes by dos Anjos
100 seconds May 15, 2012 vs Shalorus
59 seconds Jul 02, 2011 vs Sotiropoulos
570 seconds Apr 10, 2010 vs Etim
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 18, 2013UFC on FX 8
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XDEC
2,0102,040
1,9642,085
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend dos Anjos
legend Dunham
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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