UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Dunham vs Grant

1,886

CageRank

WINNER
Grant

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
81% chance Grant
WILL WIN

2,138

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for T.J. Grant
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands 7.7 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer winning streak 5 fights vs 4 fights 25% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Evan Dunham
Stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Slightly better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Grant on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dunham’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
Grant
In 10:41, how much damage will he do? Grant Dunham
Significant Strikes69
Grant's excellent striking offense will dominate Dunham's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:41
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Grant's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Dunham's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:41
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Grant is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Grant has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Grant is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Dunham on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Grant’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Evan
Dunham
In 10:41, how much damage will he do? Dunham Grant
Significant Strikes69
Dunham's excellent striking offense will dominate Grant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:41
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Dunham's average takedown offense is matched by Grant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:41
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dunham is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dunham is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dunham is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Grant 9.1
fighter Dunham 9.1
Great striking by Grant
26 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
54 strikes Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
164 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Dunham

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Grant 8.1
fighter Dunham 8.6
Great takedowns by Dunham
2 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
3 takedowns Jun 12, 2010 vs Griffin
3 takedowns Jan 11, 2010 vs Escudero

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Grant 7.7
fighter Dunham 7.3
Great knockouts by Grant
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
Round 1 Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
Round 1 Dec 12, 2009 vs Burns

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Grant 8.2
fighter Dunham 7.7
Great submissions by Grant
Round 3 Oct 01, 2011 vs Roller
Round 2 Oct 03, 2008 vs Petz
Round 3 Jun 21, 2008 vs Reiner

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Grant 8.3
fighter Dunham 7.7
Fast finishes by Grant
127 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
291 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
732 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Roller
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 22, 2012UFC 152
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
DECX
1,9981,985
1,9462,037
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Grant
legend Dunham
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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