UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Dunham vs Tibau

1,886

CageRank

WINNER
Tibau

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
70% chance Tibau
WILL WIN

2,036

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gleison Tibau
Much better takedown defense 9.7 vs 8.7 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Much harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Slightly better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Evan Dunham
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Tibau on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dunham’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gleison
Tibau
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Tibau Dunham
Significant Strikes68
Tibau's average striking offense is matched by Dunham's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Tibau's excellent takedown offense will dominate Dunham's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tibau is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Tibau is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Tibau has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Dunham on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tibau’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Evan
Dunham
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Dunham Tibau
Significant Strikes77
Dunham's excellent striking offense will dominate Tibau's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Dunham's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Tibau's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dunham is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dunham is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dunham is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Tibau 8.2
fighter Dunham 9.1
Great striking by Dunham
91 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Tibau
68 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
28 strikes Jun 12, 2010 vs Griffin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Tibau 9.2
fighter Dunham 8.6
Great takedowns by Tibau
2 takedowns Aug 31, 2013 vs Varner
5 takedowns Oct 13, 2012 vs Trinaldo
2 takedowns Feb 07, 2009 vs Clementi

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Tibau 6.7
fighter Dunham 7.3
Great knockouts by Dunham
Round 2 Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Eklund
Round 2 Sep 13, 2008 vs Kaneshiro

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Tibau 7.8
fighter Dunham 7.7
Great submissions by Tibau
Round 2 May 18, 2013 vs Cholish
Round 2 May 28, 2011 vs Oliveira
Round 1 Feb 07, 2009 vs Clementi

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Tibau 7.9
fighter Dunham 7.7
Fast finishes by Tibau
508 seconds May 28, 2011 vs Oliveira
253 seconds Mar 31, 2010 vs Uno
275 seconds Feb 07, 2009 vs Clementi
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 2, 2013UFC 156
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XDEC
1,9462,048
2,0101,984
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Tibau
legend Dunham
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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