UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Dunham vs Griffin

1,886

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Dunham

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
57% chance Dunham
WILL WIN

1,834

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Evan Dunham
Much taller 178 cm vs 168 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.0 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Longer reach 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Tyson Griffin
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Dunham on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Griffin’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Evan
Dunham
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Dunham Griffin
Significant Strikes87
Dunham's excellent striking offense will dominate Griffin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Dunham's average takedown offense is matched by Griffin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dunham has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Dunham is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dunham has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Griffin on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dunham’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tyson
Griffin
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Griffin Dunham
Significant Strikes83
Griffin's good striking offense may be a factor against Dunham's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Griffin's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Dunham's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Griffin is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Griffin is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Griffin has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Dunham 9.1
fighter Griffin 8.7
Great striking by Dunham
91 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Tibau
68 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
28 strikes Jun 12, 2010 vs Griffin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Dunham 8.6
fighter Griffin 8.1
Great takedowns by Dunham
2 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
3 takedowns Jun 12, 2010 vs Griffin
3 takedowns Jan 11, 2010 vs Escudero

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Dunham 7.3
fighter Griffin 7.4
Great knockouts by Griffin
Round 2 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franca
Round 1 Jun 09, 2006 vs Ludwig
Round 3 Sep 10, 2005 vs Faber

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Dunham 7.7
fighter Griffin 7.0
Great submissions by Dunham
Round 3 Jan 11, 2010 vs Escudero
Round 3 Jan 22, 2009 vs Akbari
Round 1 Jun 02, 2007 vs Daoust

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Dunham 7.7
fighter Griffin 7.6
Fast finishes by Dunham
600 seconds Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
719 seconds Jan 11, 2010 vs Escudero
133 seconds Feb 21, 2009 vs Eklund
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 12, 2010UFC 115
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XDEC
1,9382,037
2,0021,973
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Dunham
legend Griffin
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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