UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Dunham vs Trinaldo

1,886

CageRank

WINNER
Trinaldo

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
55% chance Trinaldo
WILL WIN

1,919

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Francisco Trinaldo
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 7.7 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Evan Dunham
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 36 years vs 40 years 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Slightly better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Trinaldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dunham’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Francisco
Trinaldo
In 10:59, how much damage will he do? Trinaldo Dunham
Significant Strikes55
Trinaldo's average striking offense is matched by Dunham's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 10:59
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Trinaldo's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Dunham's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:59
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Trinaldo is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Trinaldo is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Trinaldo is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Dunham on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Trinaldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Evan
Dunham
In 10:59, how much damage will he do? Dunham Trinaldo
Significant Strikes62
Dunham's excellent striking offense will dominate Trinaldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 10:59
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Dunham's average takedown offense is matched by Trinaldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:59
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dunham is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dunham is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dunham is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Trinaldo 8.4
fighter Dunham 9.1
Great striking by Dunham
91 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Tibau
68 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
28 strikes Jun 12, 2010 vs Griffin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Trinaldo 8.4
fighter Dunham 8.6
Great takedowns by Dunham
2 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
3 takedowns Jun 12, 2010 vs Griffin
3 takedowns Jan 11, 2010 vs Escudero

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Trinaldo 7.7
fighter Dunham 7.3
Great knockouts by Trinaldo
Round 1 Jun 23, 2012 vs Heleno
Round 2 May 21, 2011 vs Burnsed
Round 2 May 22, 2010 vs Alvaro

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Trinaldo 7.7
fighter Dunham 7.7
Great submissions by Trinaldo
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Rio
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Keith
Round 1 Feb 25, 2010 vs Firmino

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Trinaldo 8.2
fighter Dunham 7.7
Fast finishes by Trinaldo
188 seconds May 18, 2013 vs Rio
261 seconds Jun 23, 2012 vs Heleno
123 seconds Feb 25, 2010 vs Firmino
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Trinaldo
legend Dunham
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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