UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Dunham vs Eklund

1,886

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Dunham

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
72% chance Dunham
WILL WIN

1,721

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Evan Dunham
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.4 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Per Eklund
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.7 Almost the same
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Dunham on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Eklund’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Evan
Dunham
In 11:43, how much damage will he do? Dunham Eklund
Significant Strikes73
Dunham's excellent striking offense will dominate Eklund's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:43
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Dunham's average takedown offense is matched by Eklund's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:43
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dunham has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Dunham is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dunham is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Eklund on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dunham’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Per
Eklund
In 11:43, how much damage will he do? Eklund Dunham
Significant Strikes56
Eklund's average striking offense is matched by Dunham's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:43
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Eklund's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Dunham's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:43
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Eklund is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Eklund is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Eklund is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Dunham 9.1
fighter Eklund 8.3
Great striking by Dunham
91 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Tibau
68 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
28 strikes Jun 12, 2010 vs Griffin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Dunham 8.6
fighter Eklund 8.7
Great takedowns by Eklund
1 takedown Oct 18, 2008 vs Schiavo

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Dunham 7.3
fighter Eklund 6.4
Great knockouts by Dunham
Round 2 Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Eklund
Round 2 Sep 13, 2008 vs Kaneshiro

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Dunham 7.7
fighter Eklund 7.9
Great submissions by Eklund
Round 3 Oct 18, 2008 vs Schiavo
Round 2 Apr 15, 2007 vs Metcalf
Round 1 Oct 26, 2002 vs Sorensen

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Dunham 7.7
fighter Eklund 7.7
Fast finishes by Dunham
600 seconds Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
719 seconds Jan 11, 2010 vs Escudero
133 seconds Feb 21, 2009 vs Eklund
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 21, 2009UFC 95
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR1 SUB
1,7581,858
1,8221,794
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Dunham
legend Eklund
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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