UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Dunham vs Aubin-Mercier

1,886

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Dunham

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
79% chance Dunham
WILL WIN

1,651

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Evan Dunham
Significantly better submission defense 8.7 vs 7.7 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.8 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Younger 29 years vs 36 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Dunham on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aubin-Mercier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Evan
Dunham
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dunham is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Dunham has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Dunham has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Aubin-Mercier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dunham’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Olivier
Aubin-Mercier
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aubin-Mercier is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Aubin-Mercier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aubin-Mercier is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Dunham 7.3
fighter Aubin-Mercier 6.8
Great knockouts by Dunham
Round 2 Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Eklund
Round 2 Sep 13, 2008 vs Kaneshiro

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Dunham 7.7
fighter Aubin-Mercier 8.1
Great submissions by Aubin-Mercier
Round 1 Aug 17, 2013 vs Meisel
Round 1 Nov 30, 2012 vs Jewell
Round 1 Oct 21, 2011 vs Poulin

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Dunham 7.7
fighter Aubin-Mercier 8.2
Fast finishes by Aubin-Mercier
98 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Meisel
113 seconds Nov 30, 2012 vs Jewell
58 seconds Oct 21, 2011 vs Poulin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 7, 2018UFC 223
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Dunham
legend Aubin-Mercier
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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