UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Menjivar vs Faber

1,799

CageRank

WINNER
Faber

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
89% chance Faber
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.8 vs 9.2 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Ivan Menjivar
Younger 34 years vs 37 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Menjivar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 11:30, how much damage will he do? Faber Menjivar
Significant Strikes57
Faber's average striking offense is matched by Menjivar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:30
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Faber's average takedown offense is matched by Menjivar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:30
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Faber has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Menjivar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ivan
Menjivar
In 11:30, how much damage will he do? Menjivar Faber
Significant Strikes32
Menjivar's average striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:30
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Menjivar's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:30
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Menjivar is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Menjivar has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Menjivar is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Faber 8.6
fighter Menjivar 8.3
Great striking by Faber
29 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
54 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
36 strikes Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Faber 8.4
fighter Menjivar 7.7
Great takedowns by Faber
1 takedown Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
2 takedowns Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Faber 6.8
fighter Menjivar 7.0
Great knockouts by Menjivar
Round 1 Apr 30, 2011 vs Valencia
Round 2 Sep 05, 2004 vs Ackerman
Round 1 Nov 29, 2002 vs Marin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Faber 9.5
fighter Menjivar 8.1
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Faber 8.7
fighter Menjivar 8.3
Fast finishes by Faber
502 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
387 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles
574 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 23, 2013UFC 157
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XDEC
1,9002,039
1,8692,070
January 28, 2006TKO 24
team
VS
team
XR2 DQ
R2 KOX
1,9021,800
1,8381,864
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Faber
legend Menjivar
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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