UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Menjivar vs Reis

1,799

CageRank

WINNER
Reis

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
71% chance Reis
WILL WIN

1,952

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Wilson Reis
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 7.7 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 32 years vs 35 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Ivan Menjivar
Significantly heavier hands 6.9 vs 6.3 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 168 cm vs 163 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 169 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Slightly heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Reis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Menjivar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Wilson
Reis
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Reis Menjivar
Significant Strikes62
Reis's average striking offense is matched by Menjivar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Reis's good takedown offense may be a factor against Menjivar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Reis is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Reis has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Reis has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Menjivar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Reis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ivan
Menjivar
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Menjivar Reis
Significant Strikes62
Menjivar's average striking offense is matched by Reis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Menjivar's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Reis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Menjivar is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Menjivar has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Menjivar is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Reis 8.3
fighter Menjivar 8.3
Great striking by Menjivar
25 strikes Feb 15, 2012 vs Albert
61 strikes Aug 06, 2011 vs Pace
8 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Valencia

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Reis 8.8
fighter Menjivar 7.7
Great takedowns by Reis
4 takedowns Sep 21, 2013 vs Menjivar

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Reis 6.3
fighter Menjivar 7.0
Great knockouts by Menjivar
Round 1 Apr 30, 2011 vs Valencia
Round 2 Sep 05, 2004 vs Ackerman
Round 1 Nov 29, 2002 vs Marin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Reis 8.4
fighter Menjivar 8.1
Great submissions by Reis
Round 3 Dec 08, 2012 vs Roddy
Round 1 Dec 16, 2011 vs Menezes
Round 1 Mar 19, 2011 vs George

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Reis 7.7
fighter Menjivar 8.3
Fast finishes by Menjivar
225 seconds Feb 15, 2012 vs Albert
90 seconds Apr 30, 2011 vs Valencia
219 seconds Sep 03, 2005 vs Lauzon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 21, 2013UFC 165
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XDEC
1,8691,961
1,8321,998
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Reis
legend Menjivar
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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