UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Ngannou

2,200

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
97% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

1,612

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demetrious Johnson
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 7.8 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 9.2 vs 7.8 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Francis Ngannou
Much heavier 258 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 2x heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much taller 193 cm vs 160 cm More than 20% taller
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 7.2 Almost the same
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ngannou’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demetrious
Johnson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Johnson has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Ngannou on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Francis
Ngannou
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ngannou is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ngannou is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ngannou is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 7.2
fighter Ngannou 7.4
Great knockouts by Ngannou
Round 1 Jan 28, 2017 vs Arlovski
Round 2 Apr 10, 2016 vs Blaydes
Round 1 Apr 05, 2014 vs Tahtahi

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 7.9
fighter Ngannou 7.5
Great submissions by Johnson
Round 5 Jul 27, 2013 vs Moraga
Round 3 Nov 11, 2010 vs Page
Round 2 Aug 16, 2008 vs Garza

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 7.7
fighter Ngannou 7.7
Fast finishes by Ngannou
92 seconds Jan 28, 2017 vs Arlovski
600 seconds Apr 10, 2016 vs Blaydes
104 seconds Nov 30, 2013 vs Benzina
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Ngannou
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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