UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Rousey

2,200

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
67% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demetrious Johnson
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Advantages for Ronda Rousey
Fast finishes 9.9 vs 7.7 Around 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 9.3 vs 7.9 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 168 cm vs 160 cm Around 5% taller
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier hands 7.4 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Slightly heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rousey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demetrious
Johnson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Johnson Rousey
Significant Strikes79
Johnson's good striking offense may be a factor against Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Johnson's excellent takedown offense will dominate Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Rousey on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronda
Rousey
In 15:00, how much damage will she do? Rousey Johnson
Significant Strikes49
Rousey's average striking offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Rousey's excellent takedown offense will dominate Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rousey is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rousey has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rousey is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Rousey 8.5
Great striking by Johnson
7 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs Benavidez
77 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Benavidez
13 strikes May 28, 2011 vs Torres

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 9.2
fighter Rousey 9.4
Great takedowns by Rousey
6 takedowns Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
1 takedown Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
3 takedowns Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 7.2
fighter Rousey 7.4
Great knockouts by Rousey
Round 1 Aug 01, 2015 vs Correia
Round 1 Jul 05, 2014 vs Davis
Round 1 Feb 22, 2014 vs McMann

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 7.9
fighter Rousey 9.3
Great submissions by Rousey
Round 3 Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
Round 1 Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
Round 1 Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 7.7
fighter Rousey 9.9
Fast finishes by Rousey
658 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
54 seconds Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
267 seconds Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Rousey
Read More
Johnson vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Rousey vs Lesnar
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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