UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Jones

2,200

CageRank

WINNER
Jones

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
73% chance Jones
WILL WIN

2,377

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Jones
Much longer reach 215 cm vs 168 cm Around 30% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much taller 193 cm vs 160 cm More than 20% taller
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.2 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better takedown defense 9.9 vs 8.6 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.6 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier 205 lbs vs 125 lbs Around 65% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Longer winning streak 14 fights vs 12 fights More than 15% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Stronger jaw 9.7 vs 9.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 9.2 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Demetrious Johnson
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Jones on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Jones
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Jones Johnson
Significant Strikes86
Jones's excellent striking offense will dominate Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Jones's excellent takedown offense will dominate Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demetrious
Johnson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Johnson Jones
Significant Strikes44
Johnson's good striking offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Johnson's excellent takedown offense is matched by Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Jones 9.6
fighter Johnson 8.7
Great striking by Jones
20 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
105 strikes Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
61 strikes Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Jones 9.4
fighter Johnson 9.2
Great takedowns by Jones
3 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
1 takedown Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
2 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jones 8.6
fighter Johnson 7.2
Great knockouts by Jones
Round 1 Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
Round 3 Mar 19, 2011 vs Rua
Round 1 Aug 01, 2010 vs Matyushenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jones 8.2
fighter Johnson 7.9
Great submissions by Jones
Round 4 Sep 22, 2012 vs Belfort
Round 2 Dec 10, 2011 vs Machida
Round 4 Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jones 8.9
fighter Johnson 7.7
Fast finishes by Jones
273 seconds Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
974 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson
757 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs Rua
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jones
legend Johnson
Read More
Johnson vs Dillashaw
Fantasy Cage Match
Jones vs Ngannou
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus