UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Benavidez

2,200

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
66% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

2,082

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demetrious Johnson
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 7.8 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much longer winning streak 12 fights vs 6 fights 2x longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly longer reach 168 cm vs 163 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 31 years vs 33 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Joseph Benavidez
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.2 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 163 cm vs 160 cm Almost the same
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Benavidez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demetrious
Johnson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Johnson Benavidez
Significant Strikes69
Johnson's good striking offense may be a factor against Benavidez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Johnson's excellent takedown offense is matched by Benavidez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Benavidez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joseph
Benavidez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Benavidez Johnson
Significant Strikes59
Benavidez's good striking offense is matched by Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Benavidez's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Benavidez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Benavidez has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Benavidez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Benavidez 8.8
Great striking by Benavidez
20 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs da Silva
17 strikes Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
15 strikes Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 9.2
fighter Benavidez 7.8
Great takedowns by Johnson
12 takedowns Jul 27, 2013 vs Moraga
5 takedowns Sep 22, 2012 vs Benavidez
5 takedowns May 28, 2011 vs Torres

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 7.2
fighter Benavidez 8.1
Great knockouts by Benavidez
Round 1 Sep 04, 2013 vs da Silva
Round 2 Mar 03, 2012 vs Urushitani
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Yahya

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 7.9
fighter Benavidez 8.1
Great submissions by Benavidez
Round 2 Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
Round 2 Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres
Round 2 Jan 17, 2008 vs Georgianna

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 7.7
fighter Benavidez 8.6
Fast finishes by Benavidez
465 seconds Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
477 seconds Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres
95 seconds Dec 19, 2009 vs Yahya
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 14, 2013UFC on Fox 9
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
DECX
2,1272,112
2,1752,065
September 22, 2012UFC 152
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
XDEC
2,0102,096
2,0722,034
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Benavidez
Read More
Johnson vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Benavidez vs Dodson
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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