UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Miocic

2,200

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
64% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

2,101

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demetrious Johnson
Much longer winning streak 12 fights vs 5 fights Around 2.5x longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.6 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 31 years vs 35 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Stipe Miocic
Much heavier hands 9.1 vs 7.2 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Much heavier 244 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 95% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much taller 193 cm vs 160 cm More than 20% taller
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much longer reach 203 cm vs 168 cm More than 20% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miocic’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demetrious
Johnson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Johnson Miocic
Significant Strikes83
Johnson's good striking offense may be a factor against Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Johnson's excellent takedown offense will dominate Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Miocic on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stipe
Miocic
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Miocic Johnson
Significant Strikes64
Miocic's excellent striking offense will dominate Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Miocic's average takedown offense is matched by Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miocic has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miocic is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miocic is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Miocic 8.9
Great striking by Miocic
63 strikes Jan 25, 2014 vs Gonzaga
106 strikes Jun 15, 2013 vs Nelson
32 strikes May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 9.2
fighter Miocic 8.7
Great takedowns by Johnson
12 takedowns Jul 27, 2013 vs Moraga
5 takedowns Sep 22, 2012 vs Benavidez
5 takedowns May 28, 2011 vs Torres

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 7.2
fighter Miocic 9.1
Great knockouts by Miocic
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario
Round 1 Feb 15, 2012 vs De Fries
Round 1 Feb 16, 2008 vs Stansbury

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 7.9
fighter Miocic 6.6
Great submissions by Johnson
Round 5 Jul 27, 2013 vs Moraga
Round 3 Nov 11, 2010 vs Page
Round 2 Aug 16, 2008 vs Garza

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 7.7
fighter Miocic 8.9
Fast finishes by Miocic
494 seconds May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario
43 seconds Feb 15, 2012 vs De Fries
567 seconds Jun 04, 2011 vs Brents
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Miocic
Read More
Johnson vs Dillashaw
Fantasy Cage Match
Miocic vs Velasquez
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
LOL. what a joke. who regulates these?!?!
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