UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Dillashaw

2,200

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
77% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

1,994

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demetrious Johnson
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for T.J. Dillashaw
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.2 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 168 cm vs 160 cm Around 5% taller
Slightly heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dillashaw’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demetrious
Johnson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Johnson Dillashaw
Significant Strikes73
Johnson's good striking offense may be a factor against Dillashaw's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Johnson's excellent takedown offense will dominate Dillashaw's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Dillashaw on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
Dillashaw
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Dillashaw Johnson
Significant Strikes55
Dillashaw's good striking offense is matched by Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Dillashaw's good takedown offense may be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dillashaw has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dillashaw is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dillashaw is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Dillashaw 8.7
Great striking by Johnson
7 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs Benavidez
77 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Benavidez
13 strikes May 28, 2011 vs Torres

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 9.2
fighter Dillashaw 9.1
Great takedowns by Johnson
12 takedowns Jul 27, 2013 vs Moraga
5 takedowns Sep 22, 2012 vs Benavidez
5 takedowns May 28, 2011 vs Torres

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 7.2
fighter Dillashaw 8.2
Great knockouts by Dillashaw
Round 1 Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
Round 2 Mar 16, 2013 vs Tamura
Round 3 Nov 20, 2010 vs McCorriston

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 7.9
fighter Dillashaw 7.5
Great submissions by Johnson
Round 5 Jul 27, 2013 vs Moraga
Round 3 Nov 11, 2010 vs Page
Round 2 Aug 16, 2008 vs Garza

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 7.7
fighter Dillashaw 8.1
Fast finishes by Dillashaw
262 seconds Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
153 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Lee
667 seconds Nov 20, 2010 vs McCorriston
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Dillashaw
Read More
Johnson vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Dillashaw vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 2 comments.
mighty mouse would smoke dillashaw
This would be a fight, mighty mouse would win but it would be a fight. If Dominick cruz beats dillashaw then cruz vs mighty mouse would be ten times bigger sons.
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