UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Torres

2,200

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
87% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

1,864

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demetrious Johnson
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 7.0 More than 30% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 31 years vs 36 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.9 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Miguel Torres
Much longer reach 193 cm vs 168 cm More than 15% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 175 cm vs 160 cm Around 10% taller
Heavier 144 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Torres’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demetrious
Johnson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Johnson Torres
Significant Strikes65
Johnson's good striking offense is matched by Torres's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Johnson's excellent takedown offense will dominate Torres's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Torres on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Miguel
Torres
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Torres Johnson
Significant Strikes49
Torres's average striking offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Torres's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Torres is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Torres is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Torres is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Torres 8.5
Great striking by Johnson
7 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs Benavidez
77 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Benavidez
13 strikes May 28, 2011 vs Torres

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 9.2
fighter Torres 7.0
Great takedowns by Johnson
12 takedowns Jul 27, 2013 vs Moraga
5 takedowns Sep 22, 2012 vs Benavidez
5 takedowns May 28, 2011 vs Torres

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 7.2
fighter Torres 6.9
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Dec 14, 2013 vs Benavidez
Round 1 Feb 10, 2010 vs Brock
Round 1 Jul 29, 2006 vs Ulrich

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 7.9
fighter Torres 7.3
Great submissions by Johnson
Round 5 Jul 27, 2013 vs Moraga
Round 3 Nov 11, 2010 vs Page
Round 2 Aug 16, 2008 vs Garza

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 7.7
fighter Torres 7.4
Fast finishes by Johnson
128 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs Benavidez
1423 seconds Jul 27, 2013 vs Moraga
66 seconds Feb 10, 2010 vs Brock
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 28, 2011UFC 130
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR1 SUB
1,9422,060
2,0081,993
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Torres
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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