UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Elliott

2,200

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
92% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

1,773

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demetrious Johnson
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.0 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 168 cm vs 166 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Timothy Elliott
Much taller 170 cm vs 160 cm More than 5% taller
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Elliott’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demetrious
Johnson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Johnson Elliott
Significant Strikes80
Johnson's good striking offense may be a factor against Elliott's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Johnson's excellent takedown offense will dominate Elliott's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Elliott on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Timothy
Elliott
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Elliott Johnson
Significant Strikes54
Elliott's good striking offense is matched by Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Elliott's good takedown offense may be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Elliott is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Elliott is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Elliott is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Elliott 8.6
Great striking by Johnson
7 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs Benavidez
77 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Benavidez
13 strikes May 28, 2011 vs Torres

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 9.2
fighter Elliott 8.8
Great takedowns by Johnson
12 takedowns Jul 27, 2013 vs Moraga
5 takedowns Sep 22, 2012 vs Benavidez
5 takedowns May 28, 2011 vs Torres

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 7.2
fighter Elliott 7.2
Great knockouts by Elliott
Round 2 Dec 16, 2011 vs Pulver
Round 1 Feb 26, 2011 vs McDowell
Round 1 Dec 11, 2009 vs Veloquio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 7.9
fighter Elliott 7.3
Great submissions by Johnson
Round 5 Jul 27, 2013 vs Moraga
Round 3 Nov 11, 2010 vs Page
Round 2 Aug 16, 2008 vs Garza

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 7.7
fighter Elliott 7.7
Fast finishes by Elliott
28 seconds Mar 30, 2012 vs Rave
432 seconds Dec 16, 2011 vs Pulver
754 seconds Jun 25, 2010 vs Fuller
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 3, 2016TUF 24 Finale
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Elliott
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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