UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Moraga

2,200

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
86% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

1,891

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demetrious Johnson
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.8 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 30 years vs 33 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 7.7 vs 7.5 Almost the same
Advantages for John Moraga
A lot taller 168 cm vs 160 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Moraga’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demetrious
Johnson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Johnson Moraga
Significant Strikes80
Johnson's good striking offense may be a factor against Moraga's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Johnson's excellent takedown offense will dominate Moraga's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Moraga on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
John
Moraga
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Moraga Johnson
Significant Strikes51
Moraga's average striking offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Moraga's average takedown offense is matched by Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Moraga is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Moraga is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Moraga is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Moraga 8.6
Great striking by Johnson
7 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs Benavidez
77 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Benavidez
13 strikes May 28, 2011 vs Torres

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 9.2
fighter Moraga 8.1
Great takedowns by Johnson
12 takedowns Jul 27, 2013 vs Moraga
5 takedowns Sep 22, 2012 vs Benavidez
5 takedowns May 28, 2011 vs Torres

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 7.2
fighter Moraga 6.8
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Dec 14, 2013 vs Benavidez
Round 1 Feb 10, 2010 vs Brock
Round 1 Jul 29, 2006 vs Ulrich

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 7.9
fighter Moraga 7.6
Great submissions by Johnson
Round 5 Jul 27, 2013 vs Moraga
Round 3 Nov 11, 2010 vs Page
Round 2 Aug 16, 2008 vs Garza

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 7.7
fighter Moraga 7.5
Fast finishes by Johnson
128 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs Benavidez
1423 seconds Jul 27, 2013 vs Moraga
66 seconds Feb 10, 2010 vs Brock
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 27, 2013UFC on Fox 8
team
VS
team
R5 SUBX
DECX
2,1021,917
2,1271,891
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Moraga
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
Moraga is going to win this bout against demetrious johnson by knockout via left hook, an elbow strikes, this won't go the full 5 rounds
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