UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Garza

2,200

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
98% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

1,563

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demetrious Johnson
Much better submission defense 9.2 vs 7.1 Around 30% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 7.4 More than 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 7.6 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 7.2 vs 7.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Jose Garza
Slightly heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Garza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demetrious
Johnson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Johnson has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Garza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Garza
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Garza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Garza is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Garza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 7.2
fighter Garza 7.1
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Dec 14, 2013 vs Benavidez
Round 1 Feb 10, 2010 vs Brock
Round 1 Jul 29, 2006 vs Ulrich

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 7.9
fighter Garza 7.5
Great submissions by Johnson
Round 5 Jul 27, 2013 vs Moraga
Round 3 Nov 11, 2010 vs Page
Round 2 Aug 16, 2008 vs Garza

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 7.7
fighter Garza 7.4
Fast finishes by Johnson
128 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs Benavidez
1423 seconds Jul 27, 2013 vs Moraga
66 seconds Feb 10, 2010 vs Brock
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 16, 2008AXFC 22
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
R2 KOX
1,7111,551
1,7391,523
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Garza
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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