UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Reis

2,200

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
81% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

1,952

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demetrious Johnson
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.3 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Longer reach 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Wilson Reis
Significantly better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 163 cm vs 160 cm Almost the same
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Reis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demetrious
Johnson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Johnson Reis
Significant Strikes78
Johnson's good striking offense may be a factor against Reis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Johnson's excellent takedown offense will dominate Reis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Reis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Wilson
Reis
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Reis Johnson
Significant Strikes42
Reis's average striking offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Reis's good takedown offense may be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Reis is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Reis has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Reis is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Reis 8.3
Great striking by Johnson
7 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs Benavidez
77 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Benavidez
13 strikes May 28, 2011 vs Torres

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 9.2
fighter Reis 8.8
Great takedowns by Johnson
12 takedowns Jul 27, 2013 vs Moraga
5 takedowns Sep 22, 2012 vs Benavidez
5 takedowns May 28, 2011 vs Torres

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 7.2
fighter Reis 6.3
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Dec 14, 2013 vs Benavidez
Round 1 Feb 10, 2010 vs Brock
Round 1 Jul 29, 2006 vs Ulrich

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 7.9
fighter Reis 8.4
Great submissions by Reis
Round 3 Dec 08, 2012 vs Roddy
Round 1 Dec 16, 2011 vs Menezes
Round 1 Mar 19, 2011 vs George

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 7.7
fighter Reis 7.7
Fast finishes by Reis
692 seconds Dec 08, 2012 vs Roddy
200 seconds Dec 16, 2011 vs Menezes
129 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs George
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 15, 2017UFC on Fox 24
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Reis
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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