UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Tuck vs Gomi

1,867

CageRank

WINNER
Gomi

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
70% chance Gomi
WILL WIN

2,012

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Takanori Gomi
Significantly stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Heavier hands 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Jon Tuck
Much stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.2 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
A lot taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 33 years vs 39 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.0 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Gomi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tuck’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Takanori
Gomi
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Gomi Tuck
Significant Strikes91
Gomi's good striking offense may be a factor against Tuck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Gomi's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Tuck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gomi has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gomi is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Gomi has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Tuck on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gomi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Tuck
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Tuck Gomi
Significant Strikes71
Tuck's average striking offense is matched by Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Tuck's average takedown offense is matched by Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tuck has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Tuck is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Tuck is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Gomi 8.9
fighter Tuck 8.5
Great striking by Gomi
5 strikes Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
14 strikes Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida
35 strikes Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gomi 8.4
fighter Tuck 8.2
Great knockouts by Gomi
Round 2 Feb 26, 2012 vs Mitsuoka
Round 1 Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
Round 1 Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gomi 7.0
fighter Tuck 7.5
Great submissions by Tuck
Round 1 Mar 27, 2009 vs Calvo
Round 1 Nov 17, 2007 vs Sablan
Round 1 Feb 09, 2007 vs Nauta

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gomi 8.2
fighter Tuck 8.3
Fast finishes by Tuck
225 seconds Nov 26, 2011 vs Arenal
8 seconds Nov 21, 2009 vs Folayang
118 seconds Mar 27, 2009 vs Calvo
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 17, 2017UFC Fight Night 111
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gomi
legend Tuck
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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