UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Tuck vs Zhang

1,867

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Tuck

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
69% chance Tuck
WILL WIN

1,728

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Tuck
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.4 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.5 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Longer reach 185 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 33 years vs 40 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Tiequan Zhang
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Tuck on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Zhang’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Tuck
In 12:04, how much damage will he do? Tuck Zhang
Significant Strikes53
Tuck's average striking offense is matched by Zhang's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 109 Significant Strikes in 12:04
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Tuck's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Zhang's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:04
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tuck has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Tuck is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Tuck has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Zhang on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tuck’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tiequan
Zhang
In 12:04, how much damage will he do? Zhang Tuck
Significant Strikes46
Zhang's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Tuck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 109 Significant Strikes in 12:04
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Zhang's average takedown offense is matched by Tuck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:04
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Zhang is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Zhang has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Zhang is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Tuck 8.5
fighter Zhang 7.9
Great striking by Tuck
36 strikes Nov 10, 2012 vs Zhang

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Tuck 8.2
fighter Zhang 6.4
Great knockouts by Tuck
Round 1 Nov 26, 2011 vs Arenal
Round 1 Nov 21, 2009 vs Folayang
Round 1 May 28, 2007 vs Salas

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Tuck 7.5
fighter Zhang 8.3
Great submissions by Zhang
Round 1 Feb 27, 2011 vs Reinhardt
Round 1 Sep 30, 2010 vs Garza
Round 1 Nov 22, 2008 vs Baduria

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Tuck 8.3
fighter Zhang 8.2
Fast finishes by Tuck
225 seconds Nov 26, 2011 vs Arenal
8 seconds Nov 21, 2009 vs Folayang
118 seconds Mar 27, 2009 vs Calvo
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 10, 2012UFC on Fuel TV 6
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R1 KOX
1,7851,777
1,8341,728
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Tuck
legend Zhang
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus