UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Tuck vs Calvo

1,867

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Tuck

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
86% chance Tuck
WILL WIN

1,548

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Tuck
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 7.3 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.2 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Thomas Calvo
From what we can tell, Jon Tuck dominates Thomas Calvo in every way.
Tuck on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Calvo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Tuck
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tuck has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Tuck has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Tuck has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Calvo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tuck’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thomas
Calvo
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Calvo is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Calvo is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Calvo has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Tuck 8.2
fighter Calvo 7.3
Great knockouts by Tuck
Round 1 Nov 26, 2011 vs Arenal
Round 1 Nov 21, 2009 vs Folayang
Round 1 May 28, 2007 vs Salas

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Tuck 7.5
fighter Calvo 7.4
Great submissions by Tuck
Round 1 Mar 27, 2009 vs Calvo
Round 1 Nov 17, 2007 vs Sablan
Round 1 Feb 09, 2007 vs Nauta

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Tuck 8.3
fighter Calvo 7.6
Fast finishes by Tuck
225 seconds Nov 26, 2011 vs Arenal
8 seconds Nov 21, 2009 vs Folayang
118 seconds Mar 27, 2009 vs Calvo
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 27, 2009PXC 17
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,6451,590
1,6871,548
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Tuck
legend Calvo
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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