UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Tuck vs Arenal

1,867

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Tuck

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
79% chance Tuck
WILL WIN

1,632

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Tuck
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.1 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Tristan Arenal
From what we can tell, Jon Tuck dominates Tristan Arenal in every way.
Tuck on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Arenal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Tuck
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tuck has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Tuck is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Tuck has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Arenal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tuck’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tristan
Arenal
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Arenal is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Arenal is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Arenal is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Tuck 8.2
fighter Arenal 7.8
Great knockouts by Tuck
Round 1 Nov 26, 2011 vs Arenal
Round 1 Nov 21, 2009 vs Folayang
Round 1 May 28, 2007 vs Salas

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Tuck 7.5
fighter Arenal 7.1
Great submissions by Tuck
Round 1 Mar 27, 2009 vs Calvo
Round 1 Nov 17, 2007 vs Sablan
Round 1 Feb 09, 2007 vs Nauta

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Tuck 8.3
fighter Arenal 8.0
Fast finishes by Tuck
225 seconds Nov 26, 2011 vs Arenal
8 seconds Nov 21, 2009 vs Folayang
118 seconds Mar 27, 2009 vs Calvo
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 SUBX
1,7451,671
1,7851,631
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Tuck
legend Arenal
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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