UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Tuck vs Lee

1,867

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Tuck

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
52% chance Tuck
WILL WIN

1,856

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Tuck
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.6 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Slightly better striker 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Kevin Lee
Significantly younger 25 years vs 33 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 8.2 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Tuck on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Tuck
In 10:38, how much damage will he do? Tuck Lee
Significant Strikes49
Tuck's average striking offense is matched by Lee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:38
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Tuck's average takedown offense is matched by Lee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:38
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tuck has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Tuck is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Tuck is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tuck’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kevin
Lee
In 10:38, how much damage will he do? Lee Tuck
Significant Strikes52
Lee's average striking offense is matched by Tuck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:38
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Lee's average takedown offense is matched by Tuck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:38
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lee is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lee has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Lee has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Tuck 8.5
fighter Lee 8.4
Great striking by Tuck
36 strikes Nov 10, 2012 vs Zhang

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Tuck 8.2
fighter Lee 6.6
Great knockouts by Tuck
Round 1 Nov 26, 2011 vs Arenal
Round 1 Nov 21, 2009 vs Folayang
Round 1 May 28, 2007 vs Salas

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Tuck 7.5
fighter Lee 8.1
Great submissions by Lee
Round 1 Sep 13, 2013 vs Gervais
Round 3 Jul 19, 2013 vs Lile
Round 2 Apr 13, 2013 vs Prepolec

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Tuck 8.3
fighter Lee 7.9
Fast finishes by Tuck
225 seconds Nov 26, 2011 vs Arenal
8 seconds Nov 21, 2009 vs Folayang
118 seconds Mar 27, 2009 vs Calvo
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 27, 2014UFC 178
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Tuck
legend Lee
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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