UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Thompson vs Woodley

1,900

CageRank

WINNER
Woodley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
75% chance Woodley
WILL WIN

2,090

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tyron Woodley
Much harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.6 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.8 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.2 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Stephen Thompson
A lot taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Woodley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Thompson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tyron
Woodley
In 8:12, how much damage will he do? Woodley Thompson
Significant Strikes46
Woodley's good striking offense may be a factor against Thompson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:12
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Woodley's average takedown offense is matched by Thompson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:12
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Woodley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Woodley has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Woodley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Thompson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Woodley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stephen
Thompson
In 8:12, how much damage will he do? Thompson Woodley
Significant Strikes34
Thompson's good striking offense is matched by Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:12
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Thompson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:12
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Thompson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Thompson is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Thompson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Woodley 8.9
fighter Thompson 8.9
Great striking by Woodley
22 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
15 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
20 strikes Jul 30, 2011 vs Daley

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Woodley 8.4
fighter Thompson 8.1
Great takedowns by Woodley
3 takedowns Jan 07, 2012 vs Mein
2 takedowns Jul 30, 2011 vs Daley
2 takedowns Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Woodley 8.5
fighter Thompson 8.6
Great knockouts by Thompson
Round 2 Sep 21, 2013 vs Clements
Round 1 Feb 04, 2012 vs Stittgen
Round 2 Feb 05, 2010 vs Joles

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Woodley 7.7
fighter Thompson 6.8
Great submissions by Woodley
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears
Round 2 Sep 25, 2009 vs Light
Round 1 Jun 06, 2009 vs Woods

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Woodley 8.9
fighter Thompson 8.1
Fast finishes by Woodley
278 seconds Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
36 seconds Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
172 seconds Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 4, 2017UFC 209
team
VS
team
XR5 DEC
XX
00
00
November 12, 2016UFC 205
team
VS
team
XX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Woodley
legend Thompson
Read More
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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