UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Roller vs Grant

1,825

CageRank

WINNER
Grant

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
86% chance Grant
WILL WIN

2,138

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for T.J. Grant
Better striker 9.1 vs 7.8 More than 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.1 vs 7.9 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 33 years vs 38 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier hands 7.7 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Shane Roller
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Grant on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Roller’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
Grant
In 10:06, how much damage will he do? Grant Roller
Significant Strikes65
Grant's excellent striking offense will dominate Roller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:06
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Grant's average takedown offense is matched by Roller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:06
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Grant is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Grant has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Grant is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Roller on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Grant’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shane
Roller
In 10:06, how much damage will he do? Roller Grant
Significant Strikes37
Roller's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Grant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:06
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Roller's average takedown offense is matched by Grant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:06
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Roller is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Roller is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Roller is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Grant 9.1
fighter Roller 7.8
Great striking by Grant
26 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
54 strikes Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
164 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Dunham

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Grant 8.1
fighter Roller 8.3
Great takedowns by Roller
3 takedowns Jul 07, 2012 vs Alessio
1 takedown Dec 16, 2010 vs Varner
2 takedowns Apr 24, 2010 vs Njokuani

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Grant 7.7
fighter Roller 7.3
Great knockouts by Grant
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
Round 1 Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
Round 1 Dec 12, 2009 vs Burns

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Grant 8.2
fighter Roller 7.8
Great submissions by Grant
Round 3 Oct 01, 2011 vs Roller
Round 2 Oct 03, 2008 vs Petz
Round 3 Jun 21, 2008 vs Reiner

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Grant 8.3
fighter Roller 8.1
Fast finishes by Grant
127 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
291 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
732 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Roller
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
R1 SUBX
1,9001,870
1,8451,924
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Grant
legend Roller
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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