UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Benavidez vs Urushitani

2,082

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Benavidez

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
82% chance Benavidez
WILL WIN

1,822

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Joseph Benavidez
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 5.9 Around 40% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.1 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.2 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly younger 33 years vs 41 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Yasuhiro Urushitani
Significantly longer reach 170 cm vs 163 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.8 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 165 cm vs 163 cm Almost the same
Benavidez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Urushitani’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joseph
Benavidez
In 10:31, how much damage will he do? Benavidez Urushitani
Significant Strikes59
Benavidez's good striking offense may be a factor against Urushitani's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:31
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Benavidez's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Urushitani's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:31
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Benavidez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Benavidez has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Benavidez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Urushitani on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Benavidez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yasuhiro
Urushitani
In 10:31, how much damage will he do? Urushitani Benavidez
Significant Strikes39
Urushitani's average striking offense is matched by Benavidez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:31
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Urushitani's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Benavidez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:31
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Urushitani is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Urushitani is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Urushitani has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Benavidez 8.8
fighter Urushitani 8.4
Great striking by Benavidez
20 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs da Silva
17 strikes Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
15 strikes Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Benavidez 8.1
fighter Urushitani 7.2
Great knockouts by Benavidez
Round 1 Sep 04, 2013 vs da Silva
Round 2 Mar 03, 2012 vs Urushitani
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Yahya

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Benavidez 8.1
fighter Urushitani 5.9
Great submissions by Benavidez
Round 2 Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
Round 2 Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres
Round 2 Jan 17, 2008 vs Georgianna

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Benavidez 8.6
fighter Urushitani 7.1
Fast finishes by Benavidez
465 seconds Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
477 seconds Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres
95 seconds Dec 19, 2009 vs Yahya
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 3, 2012UFC on FX 2
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
R1 SUBX
2,0681,905
2,0961,877
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Benavidez
legend Urushitani
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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