UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Benavidez vs Fabiano

2,082

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Benavidez

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
72% chance Benavidez
WILL WIN

1,919

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Joseph Benavidez
Better striker 8.8 vs 7.7 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 8.1 vs 6.9 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.4 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly younger 32 years vs 41 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Wagnney Fabiano
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 7.8 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly longer reach 175 cm vs 163 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 145 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 168 cm vs 163 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Benavidez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Fabiano’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joseph
Benavidez
In 10:32, how much damage will he do? Benavidez Fabiano
Significant Strikes38
Benavidez's good striking offense won't be a factor against Fabiano's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:32
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Benavidez's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Fabiano's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:32
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Benavidez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Benavidez has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Benavidez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Fabiano on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Benavidez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Wagnney
Fabiano
In 10:32, how much damage will he do? Fabiano Benavidez
Significant Strikes25
Fabiano's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Benavidez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:32
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Fabiano's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Benavidez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:32
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Fabiano is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Fabiano has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Fabiano is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Benavidez 8.8
fighter Fabiano 7.7
Great striking by Benavidez
20 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs da Silva
17 strikes Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
15 strikes Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Benavidez 7.8
fighter Fabiano 8.8
Great takedowns by Fabiano
6 takedowns Jun 20, 2010 vs Gomez
3 takedowns Jan 10, 2010 vs Godfrey
3 takedowns Dec 03, 2008 vs Tamura

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Benavidez 8.1
fighter Fabiano 6.9
Great knockouts by Benavidez
Round 1 Sep 04, 2013 vs da Silva
Round 2 Mar 03, 2012 vs Urushitani
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Yahya

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Benavidez 8.1
fighter Fabiano 8.2
Great submissions by Fabiano
Round 1 Oct 12, 2012 vs Stepanyan
Round 3 Dec 03, 2008 vs Tamura
Round 2 Nov 03, 2007 vs Gunderson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Benavidez 8.6
fighter Fabiano 8.1
Fast finishes by Benavidez
465 seconds Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
477 seconds Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres
95 seconds Dec 19, 2009 vs Yahya
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 11, 2010WEC 52
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
XDEC
1,9431,990
1,9991,933
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Benavidez
legend Fabiano
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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