UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Benavidez vs Hunt

2,082

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Benavidez

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
67% chance Benavidez
WILL WIN

1,958

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Joseph Benavidez
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.6 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better submission defense 9.2 vs 7.9 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly younger 33 years vs 43 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Mark Hunt
Much heavier 261 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 2x heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much longer reach 188 cm vs 163 cm More than 15% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 178 cm vs 163 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly heavier hands 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.8 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Benavidez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hunt’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joseph
Benavidez
In 10:54, how much damage will he do? Benavidez Hunt
Significant Strikes46
Benavidez's good striking offense is matched by Hunt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:54
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Benavidez's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Hunt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:54
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Benavidez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Benavidez has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Benavidez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Hunt on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Benavidez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mark
Hunt
In 10:54, how much damage will he do? Hunt Benavidez
Significant Strikes47
Hunt's good striking offense may be a factor against Benavidez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:54
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Hunt's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Benavidez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:54
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hunt has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hunt is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hunt is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Benavidez 8.8
fighter Hunt 8.6
Great striking by Benavidez
20 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs da Silva
17 strikes Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
15 strikes Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Benavidez 7.8
fighter Hunt 8.2
Great takedowns by Hunt
1 takedown Mar 03, 2013 vs Struve
2 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Rothwell
1 takedown May 05, 2006 vs Kosaka

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Benavidez 8.1
fighter Hunt 8.6
Great knockouts by Hunt
Round 3 Mar 03, 2013 vs Struve
Round 1 Feb 26, 2012 vs Kongo
Round 2 Feb 27, 2011 vs Tuchscherer

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Benavidez 8.1
fighter Hunt 6.6
Great submissions by Benavidez
Round 2 Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
Round 2 Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres
Round 2 Jan 17, 2008 vs Georgianna

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Benavidez 8.6
fighter Hunt 7.8
Fast finishes by Benavidez
465 seconds Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
477 seconds Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres
95 seconds Dec 19, 2009 vs Yahya
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Benavidez
legend Hunt
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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